Tropical Cyclone a high chance of developing
Andrew Casper-Richardson,
Sunday January 5, 2020 - 13:20 AEDT
The first cyclone of the season is likely to develop off the northwest coast of Australia early next week as a tropical low gains strength.
The Bureau of Meteorology gives a moderate (20-50%) chance of this system reaching cyclone strength on Monday and a high (over 50%) chance by Tuesday. Should this system develop into a tropical cyclone it will be named Tropical Cyclone Blake.
On Saturday morning a Tropical Cyclone Watch Zone was in effect between Kuri Bay and De Grey. Current models suggest that the system will move south-southwest/southwest and will strengthen, approaching the Pilbara coast late Tuesday or early on Wednesday morning, potentially making landfall as a category two cyclone.
The exact track of the system will dictate where the wildest conditions are experienced. Heavy rain is a significant risk along large parts of the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts. Total rainfall with the system could be between 200-300mm with pockets exceeding 300mm. Wind gusts are likely to exceed 125km/h close to the system and significant wave heights could exceed 5 metres offshore.
Keep up to date with the latest information here: https://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts/tropicalcyclone.jsp?lt=wzstate&lc=wa&c=track
- Weatherzone
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2020