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Flinders 28-day Rainfall Forecast
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
19
20
21
22
med
med
23
low
low
24
low
low
25
high
high
26
med
med
27
med
med
28
low
low
29
med
med
30
low
low
31
low
low
Jun 1
med
med
2
high
high
3
high
high
4
high
high
5
low
low
6
low
low
7
low
low
8
med
med
9
low
low
10
med
med
11
12
low
low
13
14
15
low
low
| Chance of rainfall within district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| nil < 25% |
low 25% to 50% |
med 50% to 75% |
high ≥ 75% |
Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Brisbane's Toombul Shopping Centre retailers have leases terminated by Mirvac after floods
05:15 AEST
Retailers and shoppers have been left devastated by developer Mirvac's cancellation of retail leases after .
Business owners have been receiving letters informing them "it is impractical and undesirable to reinstate the centre to how it was prior to the flooding damage".
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