Jane's Weekly Update: 15th August 2025

A cold outbreak will affect the southeast this weekend. Properly cold, with air coming up from near Antarctica. This will produce showers tending to areas of rain, wintry hail, low level snow and biting winds.

Meanwhile, conditions are looking quite pleasant from Sydney to Brisbane and further north, and over into the southwest. On the weekend the cold outbreak has just the southeast in its path.

You can see just how cold the air is by the large pool of speckled cloud over the Bight:

The latest guidance shows that the second surge is likely to move across southeast SA, western VIC and western NSW on Sunday - skipping Tasmania and eastern VIC where it is cold but not as wet.

As we go into next week the cold pool (which you can think of as a ball of energy) interacts with moisture from the oceans to our east, producing a lengthy stretch of wet weather in eastern NSW and southeast QLD.

So, the weekend is nice in eastern NSW and southeast QLD, then it turns wet next week. While the weekend is cold and wintry in the southeast, before a stretch of frosty nights and sunny days next week.

In the west, the next big weather system arrives on Tuesday/Wednesday.

This is a feed of moisture from the Indian Ocean, running into strong low pressure, slowly moving and delivering widespread significant rain.

This weather pattern means that next week has the wet weather very focused on the east and west while it is dry in between.

However, in week 2 (beginning Monday 25th August), there are signs that the big system in the west could make its way into the southeast -> so that is one to watch out for on the horizon.

If you'd like to be guided through all of this and have 12 minutes to spare, please see my latest video: