Weekly Update: 17th April 2025

Cyclone Errol is heading towards the northwest coast, and should make landfall over Easter.

The rain from this one isn't heading to Queensland like we saw last time, that produced huge areas of flooding, that is still evident today with six catchments in Major Flood.

Instead, this one is heading south.

Much of the southwest (away from the west coast) has done very well to begin the season with some parts seeing more than 50mm, and a few more than 100mm.

Conversely, the past week continued dry for those drought areas of the southeast.

Back to Cyclone Errol and his moisture - that is going to push southwards, and meet up with low pressure.

This should spread rain across the south!

Another burst of rain in the southwest (again away from that western coast), then crossing SA, VIC, TAS and NSW.

The main low travels a touch too far south to get huge falls from this one in our drought areas - and this set up doesn't help those further inland, the rain dries up as it heads over the ranges. Then the rain increases again when the low hits the Tasman Sea - again, heavy falls on the coast but not inland.

I walk you through all the detail for the next week in this video, including what we can see in week two, and the longer term outlook for the seasons ahead: