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Computer Models

Seasonal Outlook Charts

3 Month Rainfall

The 3 month rainfall outlook displays the probability of exceeding the median rainfall across Australia during a 3 month period. It is basically the probability or risk of wetter or drier than average weather for the next 3 months. The outlooks are based on the statistics of chance (the odds) taken from Australian rainfall/temperatures and sea surface temperature records for the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans.

3 Month Max

The 3 month maximum temperature outlook displays the probability of exceeding the median maximum temperature across Australia during the next 3 months. It basically shows the chance of daytime temperatures being warmer than average. The outlooks are based on relationships between Pacific and Indian Ocean temperatures and Australian temperatures.

3 Month Min

The 3 month minimum temperature outlook displays the probability of exceeding the median minimum temperature across Australia during the next 3 months. It basically shows the chance of minimum temperatures being warmer than average. The outlooks are based on relationships between Pacific and Indian Ocean temperatures and Australian temperatures.

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2024/25 tropical cyclone season outlook and names

09:40 AEDT The number of tropical cyclones in the Australian region is expected to be close to the long-term average in the official season which runs from the start of November to the end of April, according to the Bureau of Meteorology.

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